Comments on: Does Your Kanban System Produce Reliable Probabilistic Forecasts? Thin-Tailed vs Fat-Tailed Cycle Time Distributions https://getnave.com/blog/thin-tailed-vs-fat-tailed-distribution/ Thu, 15 May 2025 13:40:50 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.1 By: Sonya Siderova https://getnave.com/blog/thin-tailed-vs-fat-tailed-distribution/#comment-1984 Mon, 22 Jul 2024 13:25:03 +0000 https://getnave.com/blog/?p=2745#comment-1984 In reply to Rafael Tadioto.

Rafael, would you please follow up with the details at hello@getnave.com? My team will look into your data and take it from there.

]]> By: Rafael Tadioto https://getnave.com/blog/thin-tailed-vs-fat-tailed-distribution/#comment-1981 Fri, 19 Jul 2024 12:53:56 +0000 https://getnave.com/blog/?p=2745#comment-1981 I have a question. I was analyzing a histogram chart where two data points appeared equally: there were 4 items with 21 days and 4 items with 79 days, and the Mode was placed at 21. I would like to know what criterion was used to place it at 21 rather than at 79?

]]> By: Sonya Siderova https://getnave.com/blog/thin-tailed-vs-fat-tailed-distribution/#comment-1931 Sun, 14 Apr 2024 10:50:59 +0000 https://getnave.com/blog/?p=2745#comment-1931 In reply to Pavel.

Pavel,

You can either reduce the 98th percentile or increase the mode

]]> By: Pavel https://getnave.com/blog/thin-tailed-vs-fat-tailed-distribution/#comment-1927 Wed, 03 Apr 2024 06:09:47 +0000 https://getnave.com/blog/?p=2745#comment-1927 Hi Sonya,
Thanks for the article, it is really useful.
Could you be so kind as to clarify, what should be done, if the first check (98th percentile to 50th percentile ratio is passed), but the second one 98th percentile to mode – not?

]]> By: Sonya Siderova https://getnave.com/blog/thin-tailed-vs-fat-tailed-distribution/#comment-1542 Fri, 23 Sep 2022 13:48:09 +0000 https://getnave.com/blog/?p=2745#comment-1542 In reply to Bruno.

Hey there Bruno,

The study was performed by Kanban University.

You can find all the details in the Kanban Maturity Model 2nd edition book written by David Anderson and Teodora Bozheva or in the KMM+ membership

]]> By: Bruno https://getnave.com/blog/thin-tailed-vs-fat-tailed-distribution/#comment-1538 Thu, 22 Sep 2022 21:36:53 +0000 https://getnave.com/blog/?p=2745#comment-1538 Hi Sonya, how are you?

I would like to ask some questions!

Could you give me the reference where these calculations for long and thin tail verification come from? I’m a Nave user, I like statistics and I was curious about these two formulas you present!

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